Top-down quota planning is simple: take the board’s revenue target, divide by headcount, add a buffer, and hope for the best. It’s also how most companies set unachievable quotas.
Bottoms-up planning is harder but produces quotas that reps can actually hit - and that roll up to a target the business can believe in.
The Core Inputs¶
A bottoms-up quota model needs four inputs:
- Rep headcount by month - Including planned hires and expected attrition
- Ramp schedule - What percentage of full quota a new rep carries each month
- Historical attainment - What percentage of quota your team actually hits
- Territory capacity - The addressable opportunity in each rep’s territory
Step 1: Build the Headcount Plan¶
Create a month-by-month headcount grid:
| Month | Starting Reps | New Hires | Attrition | Ending Reps |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 20 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| Feb | 22 | 1 | 1 | 22 |
| Mar | 22 | 3 | 0 | 25 |
Step 2: Apply Ramp Schedules¶
New hires don’t produce at full capacity immediately. A typical ramp schedule:
- Month 1: 25% of full quota
- Month 2: 50% of full quota
- Month 3: 75% of full quota
- Month 4+: 100% of full quota
Calculate ramped capacity for each rep based on their start date.
Step 3: Factor in Historical Attainment¶
If your team historically attains 85% of quota, your model needs to account for that. There are two approaches:
- Gross up quotas - Set quotas 15-18% above the revenue target
- Plan to the median - Set quotas that the median rep can achieve, and let top performers create upside
Approach 2 is healthier for culture and retention. Unachievable quotas drive your best reps to competitors.
Step 4: Validate Against Territory Capacity¶
Each rep’s quota should be achievable given the opportunity in their territory. Compare:
- Quota assigned vs. pipeline generated in the last 4 quarters
- Quota assigned vs. total addressable market in the territory
- Win rate × pipeline should exceed quota by at least 1.5x
If a territory can’t support the quota, either reduce the quota or redesign the territory.
Key Takeaways¶
- Bottoms-up planning produces achievable, defensible quotas
- Always account for ramp - ignoring it inflates capacity by 15-25%
- Validate quotas against territory data, not just headcount math
- Revisit assumptions quarterly as actuals come in